Is Nifty Over-Valued Now

A Million Dollar question and the most common, Please ask yourself few questions:

  • Oct-1-2009 Nifty@ 5083 and Today on March-4-2010 Nifty @ 5080..What have you gained.
  • Amazing return from Mutual in Past 1 Year Approx. 80-90%
  • IIP showing full strength V/s. Food prices breaking all barriers(Inflation rising).
  • Increasing Fuel Prices will make Inflation scenario even worst?
  • Expected withdrawal of  Indian government stimulus measures and tightening monetary policy.
  • IPO & FPO  facing hard time to cash on.

World

  • Global Economy still recovering and crawling (When America Sneezes , The World Catches Cold.)
  • U.S. Home Sales Decline in Sign Tax Credit Failing to Lure Buyers.
  • PIGS(Portugal, Ireland, Greece, Spain) Countries showing danger signs.
  • Japan-Capital spending fell 18.5% in 3 Months.(Don’t Forget it is Globalised World-Domino Effect)

My personal view would be bearish as if now (for few days), It is a relief rally on which Indian stock  market is gaining momentum, A correction is much awaited by side. Time for cautious optimism.

History would repeat, Charts will form a new pattern, Till then  follow the momentum. :-)

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